The “Emerging Democratic Majority” and the “Wrong Side of History”

Exit-Polling: 2006, 2010, 2014 Midterm Elections

The following charts collate New York Times exit-polling data from the last two midterm election cycles. For those interested in more information about the reliability and significance of this data, a FAQ is available here. Data from the 2008, 2012 and 2016 presidential elections is available here.

 

Voting Patterns by Demographic Category

Figure 3

2006

2010

2014

Democrat

Republican Democrat Republican Democrat

Republican

RACE

White

48

52 38 62 38

62

Black

89

11 91 9 90

10

Hispanic

74

26 66 34 63

37

Asian

63

37 59 41 49

51

GENDER

Men

52

48 43 57 42

58

Women

56

44 49 51 52

48

AGE

18-29

61

39 58 42 55

45

30-44

54

46 48 52 51

49

45-59

54

46 46 54 45

55

60+

52

48 42 58 44

56

POLITICAL IDENTITY

Liberal

89

11 92 8 88

12

Moderate

61

39 57 43 54

46

Conservative

20

80 14 86 13

87

Democrat

93

7 93 7 93

7

Republican

8

92 4 96 5

95

Independent

59

41 41 59 44

56

RELIGION

Protestant

45

55 39 61 38

62

Catholic

56

44 45 55 45

55

EDUCATION

No H.S.

64

36 61 39 55

45

H.S.

56

44 46 54 46

54

Some Col

52

48 44 56 45

55

Col Grad

50

50 42 58 45

55

PostGrad

59

41 52 48 54

46

INCOME

Under 30

65

35 57 43 60

40

30-49.9

57

43 52 48 52

48

50-99

51

49 45 55 44

56

100+

48

52 43 57 42

58

Share of the Electorate by Demographic Category

Figure 4 2006 2010 2014

RACE

White 80 78 75
Black 10 10 12
Hispanic 6 8 8
Asian 2 1 3
GENDER
Men 48 47 49
Women 52 53 51
AGE
18-29 12 11 13
30-44 24 22 22
45-60 34 33 32
60+ 29 34 34
POLITICAL IDENTITY
Liberal 20 20 23
Moderate 47 38 40
Conservative 32 42 37
Democrat 39 36 36
Republican 36 36 37
Independent 25 27 28
RELIGION
Protestant 55 54 53
Catholic 26 25 24
EDUCATION
No H.S. 3 9 2
H.S. 21 19 18
Some Col 31 30 29
Col Grad 27 28 31
PostGrad 18 20 20
INCOME
Under 30 19 17 16
30-49.9 21 19 20
50-99 38 37 34
100+ 23 27 30

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